BJ's Q2 Report: History Shows Median 7.2% Rise For Event-Driven Traders

Group 1 - BJ's Wholesale Club Holdings is set to announce its fiscal second-quarter results on August 22, 2025, with analysts projecting earnings of $1.09 per share and revenue of $5.48 billion, indicating no change in earnings year-over-year and a 5% increase in sales compared to the previous year [1][2] - The company has reiterated its fiscal 2025 guidance, emphasizing membership, traffic, and digital momentum as key growth drivers, alongside a 25% price advantage over supermarkets and plans to open 25-30 new clubs in the next two years [2] - BJ's has reported a market capitalization of $14 billion, with revenue for the last twelve months at $21 billion, operating profits of $848 million, and net income of $573 million [2] Group 2 - Historical data shows that BJ's stock has increased after earnings announcements 55% of the time, with a median one-day gain of 7.2% and a maximum increase of 20% [1][5] - Over the last five years, there have been 20 recorded earnings data points, with 11 positive and 9 negative one-day returns, while the percentage of positive returns drops to 45% when considering the last three years [5] - The correlation between short-term and medium-term returns after earnings can provide a lower-risk trading strategy, particularly if the 1D post-earnings return is positive [6]