Why Is D.R. Horton (DHI) Up 10.3% Since Last Earnings Report?

Core Viewpoint - D.R. Horton reported better-than-expected Q3 fiscal 2025 results, with earnings and revenues exceeding estimates but showing a year-over-year decline [2][6][7]. Earnings, Revenue & Margin Discussion - Adjusted earnings were $3.36 per share, surpassing the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $2.90 by 15.9%, but down 18% from $4.10 a year ago [6]. - Total revenues reached $9.23 billion, a 7% decrease year-over-year, yet exceeding analysts' expectations of $8.78 billion by 5.1% [7]. - The consolidated pre-tax profit margin was 14.7%, down from 18.1% a year ago [7]. Segment Details - Homebuilding revenues were $8.58 billion, down 7% year-over-year, with home sales totaling $8.56 billion, reflecting a 7.3% decline [8]. - Home closings decreased by 4% year-over-year to 23,160 homes [8]. - Financial Services revenues fell 6% to $227.8 million, while Forestar contributed $390.5 million, up from $318.4 million a year ago [10]. Balance Sheet Details - Cash, cash equivalents, and restricted cash totaled $2.66 billion as of June 30, 2025, down from $4.54 billion at the end of fiscal 2024 [12]. - Total liquidity stood at $5.5 billion, with $2.9 billion available on the revolving credit facility [12]. - Debt totaled $7.2 billion, with a debt-to-total capital ratio of 23.2% [14]. Fiscal 2025 Guidance Updated - The company expects consolidated revenues between $33.7 billion and $34.2 billion, down from the previous range of $33.3 billion to $34.8 billion, compared to $36.8 billion in fiscal 2024 [15]. - Homes closed are anticipated to be between 85,000 and 85,500, slightly reduced from the previous estimate of 85,000 to 87,000 [15]. Outlook - Estimates for the stock have trended downward, indicating a potential in-line return in the coming months [19].