Core Viewpoint - The overall operational performance of Guodian Power is stable, and the new dividend commitment enhances shareholder returns, leading to a "buy" rating for the stock [1]. Financial Performance - In the first half of 2025, Guodian Power achieved revenue of 77.655 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 9.52%. The net profit attributable to shareholders was 3.687 billion yuan, down 45.11%, while the net profit excluding non-recurring items was 3.410 billion yuan, an increase of 56.12% [2][4]. New Energy Development - The company added 6.45 GW of new energy capacity in the first half of the year, with 329.3 MW from wind power and 6,122.3 MW from solar power. Additionally, two thermal power units totaling 2 million kW were put into operation [3]. Cost and Profitability - The average on-grid electricity price was 409.70 yuan/MWh, a decrease of 29.51 yuan/MWh year-on-year. The operating costs were 65.022 billion yuan, down 11.27%, primarily due to a decline in fuel costs, with the average coal price at 831.48 yuan/ton, down 87.46 yuan/ton [4]. Dividend Policy - The company has committed to a cash dividend ratio of no less than 60% and a minimum of 0.22 yuan per share. The cash dividend will be distributed annually, contingent on profitability and the absence of major cash expenditures [5]. Profit Forecast and Valuation - The projected net profits for Guodian Power from 2025 to 2027 are 6.8 billion, 7.1 billion, and 7.6 billion yuan, respectively, with corresponding price-to-earnings ratios of 12.7, 12.0, and 11.3 times, maintaining a "buy" rating [6].
天风证券:给予国电电力买入评级