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中金:维持哔哩哔哩-W跑赢行业评级 升目标价至204港元
Zhi Tong Cai Jing·2025-08-22 01:32

Core Viewpoint - The report from CICC maintains the Non-GAAP net profit forecast for Bilibili-W (09626) for 2025/2026, with target prices raised by 5.7% to HKD 204 and by 8.0% to USD 27, reflecting a positive outlook based on user ecosystem and AI empowerment [1] Financial Performance - In Q2 2025, the company's revenue reached RMB 7.338 billion, a year-on-year increase of 19.8%, aligning closely with institutional expectations [2] - The Non-GAAP net profit for Q2 2025 was RMB 562 million, slightly exceeding institutional consensus of RMB 520 million, attributed to lower-than-expected sales and R&D expenses [2] Advertising and Gaming Revenue - Advertising revenue in Q2 2025 grew by 20.2% to RMB 2.449 billion, with significant improvement in eCPM, and gaming remains the largest advertising sector [3] - Gaming revenue surged by 60.1% to RMB 1.612 billion in Q2 2025, with stable DAU performance for "Three Kingdoms: Strategy of the World" and potential contributions from upcoming game releases expected in Q4 2025 to 2026 [3] Profitability and Cost Management - The gross margin in Q2 2025 increased by 0.2 percentage points to 36.5%, driven by strong growth in performance advertising revenue and operational leverage [4] - The company anticipates a gradual increase in gross margin, potentially reaching 37% by Q4 2025, with long-term targets of 40% to 45% [4] User Engagement and Community Growth - In Q2 2025, the company reported year-on-year growth in MAU, DAU, and average daily usage time, with DAU reaching 109 million [5] - The company emphasizes its strong community attributes and user stickiness, with a focus on enhancing commercial capabilities and the potential for growth in advertising, gaming, and charging plans [5]