SAILUN GROUP(SH:601058) Xin Lang Cai Jing·2025-08-22 06:24Core Viewpoint - The company anticipates a decline in net profit for the first half of 2025, primarily due to external factors such as international trade barriers and rising raw material costs [1][2]. Financial Performance - The company expects a net profit of approximately 1.83 billion yuan for the first half of 2025, representing a year-on-year decrease of about 320 million yuan, or 15% [1]. - The expected net profit for Q2 2025 is around 790 million yuan, reflecting a year-on-year decline of 29.2% and a quarter-on-quarter decrease of 23.8% [1]. Industry Challenges - The decline in performance is attributed to: 1. International trade barriers, specifically the 25% additional tariff on tire exports to the U.S. due to the U.S. 232 tariff law [2]. 2. Increased procurement costs for key raw materials such as natural rubber, synthetic rubber, carbon black, and steel wire [2]. Strategic Initiatives - The company plans to optimize its overseas production capacity and promote high-value-added products to mitigate external impacts [2]. - The normalization of U.S.-China tariffs and a potential decrease in raw material prices may lead to a recovery in profit margins [2]. Expansion Plans - The company announced plans to invest in a new production facility in Egypt with a total investment of approximately 290 million USD (about 2.09 billion yuan), aiming for an annual production capacity of 3.6 million radial tires [3]. - The new facility is expected to generate an average annual revenue of about 190 million USD and a net profit of approximately 34.77 million USD [3]. - The company is also advancing its global capacity expansion with projects in Vietnam, Cambodia, Mexico, and Indonesia, targeting a total production capacity of 27.65 million steel tires and 106 million semi-steel tires by the end of 2024 [4]. Product Innovation - The company has developed a new tire product, "Liquid Gold," which has received international recognition for its superior performance in reducing rolling resistance, wet grip, and wear [3]. - The carbon footprint of the "Liquid Gold" tires is significantly lower than that of standard tires, with reductions of 39% for bus tires and 27% for passenger car tires over their lifecycle [3]. Market Position - The company maintains a "buy" rating due to its leading position in the domestic tire market, strong integration of production, learning, and research, and global technological leadership [5]. - Projected net profits for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are estimated at 4.15 billion yuan, 5.23 billion yuan, and 6.24 billion yuan, respectively [5].