Is Futu's Bull Run Losing Steam?

Core Insights - Futu Holdings Ltd. has experienced significant stock price appreciation, more than doubling since the start of the year, driven by strong revenue and profit growth from increased trading volumes [2][8] - The company reported impressive business metrics, with revenue rising 70% year-on-year to HK$5.31 billion ($680 million) in the second quarter, although this was a decrease from the 81% growth in the first quarter [9][10] - Futu's trading volume for U.S. stocks rose 19.7% quarter-on-quarter, while trading volume for Hong Kong stocks fell 9% quarter-on-quarter, indicating a shift in investor interest [11] Financial Performance - Broker commissions and handling charges increased by 87% year-on-year to HK$2.58 billion, accounting for nearly half of total revenue, supported by a 121% surge in trading volume [10] - Net income rose 113% to HK$2.57 billion, with costs rising only 16.8% year-on-year, demonstrating effective cost management relative to revenue growth [15] - Interest income also grew by 44% year-on-year to HK$2.29 billion, aided by the presence of "hard to borrow" stocks in Futu's portfolio [12] Market Position and Analyst Sentiment - Futu's stock is favored among analysts, with 13 out of 14 recommending a "buy" or "strong buy," although the stock's recent performance has outpaced analysts' price targets [6][7] - The stock trades at a price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 30, significantly higher than its peers, indicating a premium valuation [7] - The company achieved a milestone with over half of its funded accounts coming from clients outside Hong Kong, reflecting its expanding international presence [14]