Muyuan Foods (SZ:002714) Feng Huang Wang·2025-08-22 14:32Group 1 - Since July, pig prices have been declining, leading to weakened profitability in the breeding sector, prompting the National Development and Reform Commission (NDRC) to initiate central frozen pork reserve collection [1][3] - The average pig-to-grain price ratio has fallen below 6:1, entering a warning zone, which has led to the decision for pork reserve collection to stabilize the market [3][6] - Analysts suggest that the reserve collection will boost market confidence and provide necessary buffer space for the pig market to gradually recover from the cyclical low [1][6] Group 2 - Major breeding companies have successfully reduced costs, with Muyuan Foods being the first to achieve a cost of 5 yuan per kilogram, while others like Wens Foodstuffs and Shennong Group are expected to join this cost club [1][10] - The overall profitability of the industry is nearing a critical point, with many companies operating at or near breakeven [5][11] - Companies with strong cost control capabilities are expected to maintain profitability even in a low-price environment, while those with costs above 14 yuan per kilogram may face significant losses [9][11] Group 3 - The NDRC's recent actions are part of a broader strategy to manage high production capacity and mitigate risks associated with price fluctuations in the pig industry [7][8] - The current market conditions indicate that while there is a strong supply, demand remains weak, leading to further price declines [3][6] - Long-term recovery in pig prices will depend on the reduction of breeding sows and the actual recovery of market demand, particularly during holiday seasons [6][7]