穆迪上调2025年拉美地区增长预期至2.2%

Core Viewpoint - Moody's has revised its economic growth forecast for the Latin American region in 2025 from 2.1% to 2.2%, indicating a slight improvement in economic outlook [1] Economic Growth Projections - Argentina's expected growth rates for 2025-2027 are 5.2%, 3.5%, and 3.5% respectively [1] - Peru is projected to grow at 3.1%, 2.9%, and 3% during the same period [1] - Colombia's growth rates are forecasted at 2.6%, 2.9%, and 3.3% [1] - Brazil is expected to see growth of 2.4%, 1.8%, and 2.7% [1] - Mexico's growth is anticipated to be 0.1%, 1%, and 2.6% [1] - Chile is projected to grow at 2.4%, 2%, and 2.2% [1] - Uruguay's expected growth rates are 2.1%, 2%, and 3.1% [1] Quarterly Economic Performance - In Q1 2025, the Latin American economy is expected to grow by 3.1% year-on-year, surpassing the previous forecast of 2.6% made in December 2024 [1] - Argentina, Brazil, and Chile are highlighted as strong performers in this quarter [1] Key Growth Drivers - Chile's growth is significantly supported by rising international copper prices, making mining production a crucial growth engine [1] - Peru benefits from elevated metal prices, alongside reasonable inflation and employment levels, which effectively boost private consumption [1]