Core Viewpoint - Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell hinted at the possibility of interest rate cuts in response to economic slowdown and rising labor market risks, despite ongoing inflation concerns [1][3]. Economic Indicators - The U.S. economy shows resilience amid high tariffs and tightened immigration policies, but significant slowdowns in labor markets and economic growth have been observed [1][6]. - In July, the U.S. non-farm payrolls added only 73,000 jobs, below expectations, and the unemployment rate slightly rose to 4.2% [6]. - The core consumer price index rose by 3.1% year-on-year in July, exceeding the Fed's long-term target of 2% [6]. Market Reactions - Following Powell's remarks, U.S. stock indices surged, with the Dow Jones reaching a new intraday high of 45,748.82 points [1][2]. - The market interpreted Powell's comments as a strong signal for potential rate cuts in September, leading to significant gains across major indices [1][2]. Political Pressures - Powell faces unprecedented political pressure from President Trump, who has been advocating for aggressive rate cuts and influencing Fed appointments [4][5]. - The upcoming September meeting is expected to be one of the most controversial in recent years, as Powell navigates economic challenges alongside political and market pressures [5]. Regional Implications - A potential rate cut by the Fed could positively impact Asian economies, particularly smaller open economies that rely heavily on trade [8]. - The analysis suggests that while inflation pressures in Asia are low, many central banks are positioned to lower rates, providing opportunities for investment [8].
深夜重磅,鲍威尔暗示降息,美股全线大涨
2 1 Shi Ji Jing Ji Bao Dao·2025-08-22 23:17