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濮耐股份(002225):信用减值短期影响业绩 活性氧化镁有望步入加速增长期

Core Viewpoint - Puyang Refractories reported a decline in net profit for the first half of 2025, primarily due to weak demand in the domestic steel industry and increased competition, leading to lower prices and higher credit impairment losses [1][4]. Financial Performance - In H1 2025, the company achieved revenue of 2.794 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 3.57%, while net profit attributable to shareholders was 68.9 million yuan, down 48.26% [1]. - The company recorded non-recurring gains of 14.99 million yuan in H1 2025, a significant decrease from 54.1 million yuan in the same period last year [1]. - Q2 2025 revenue was 1.454 billion yuan, up 3.93% year-on-year, but net profit fell 79.34% to 14.03 million yuan [1]. Segment Performance - Domestic steel division revenue was 1.616 billion yuan (57.8% of total), a slight increase of 1.45%, mainly driven by order volume growth [2]. - Overseas steel division revenue reached 769 million yuan (27.5% of total), a year-on-year increase of 6.41%, with significant contributions from the U.S. plant [2]. - Environmental materials division revenue was 130 million yuan (4.7% of total), down 11.14%, attributed to reduced demand in non-steel industries [2]. - New materials division revenue was 279 million yuan (10% of total), up 18.25%, primarily from high-activity magnesium oxide [2]. Profitability Metrics - The overall gross margin for H1 2025 was 17.22%, a decrease of 1.85 percentage points year-on-year [2]. - The company’s expense ratio for H1 2025 was 12.8%, a decrease of 0.78 percentage points year-on-year, with financial expenses turning from 0.56% last year to -0.15% this year due to exchange gains [3]. - The net profit margin for H1 2025 was 2.49%, down 2.37 percentage points year-on-year [3]. Future Outlook - Puyang Refractories is expected to see a recovery in its domestic refractory business, while overseas operations are projected to remain stable, supported by U.S. and Serbian plants [4]. - The company has signed a strategic cooperation agreement with GEM, ensuring an intended order volume of 500,000 tons by the end of 2028, which will further secure shipments [4]. - Profit forecasts for 2025-2027 are adjusted to 230 million yuan, 420 million yuan, and 590 million yuan, with corresponding P/E ratios of 34X, 19X, and 13X [4].