Core Viewpoint - The company anticipates a significant upward momentum in product cycles post-2025, with deepening collaboration with Volkswagen expected to enhance long-term performance [1][2] Group 1: Financial Projections - The company's revenue forecast for 2025 has been adjusted down from 82.01 billion to 80.44 billion, while projections for 2026 and 2027 have been increased to 129.11 billion and 143.13 billion respectively [1] - Non-GAAP net profit estimates for 2025-2027 have been revised from -1.94 billion/0.53 billion/2.23 billion to -1.07 billion/1.05 billion/3.68 billion, with adjusted EPS of -0.6/0.5/1.9 [1] - The current stock price corresponds to a price-to-sales ratio of 1.8/1.1/1.0 for 2025-2027 and a price-to-earnings ratio of 136.2/39.3 for 2026-2027 [1] Group 2: Operational Performance - In Q2 2025, the company reported revenue of 18.3 billion, in line with previous guidance, representing a year-on-year increase of 125% [1] - The quarterly delivery reached 103,000 units, with an average selling price (ASP) increasing by 11,000 to 164,000, primarily driven by the ramp-up of G6 and G9 models [1] - Non-GAAP net loss for Q2 2025 was 390 million, a reduction of 40 million from Q1 2025, attributed to a significant increase in automotive gross margin by 3.8 percentage points to 14.3% [1] Group 3: Future Outlook - The company projects Q3 2025 revenue between 19.6 billion and 21 billion, with deliveries expected to be between 113,000 and 118,000 units, and an ASP of approximately 173,000 to 178,000 [2] - The anticipated launch of new models and expansion into overseas markets is expected to drive product cycles and enhance brand strength [2] - Collaboration with Volkswagen is set to expand to all ICEV and PHEV models in China, potentially contributing a significant recurring revenue stream post-SOP [2]
小鹏汽车-W(09868.HK)：产品大周期势能有望向上 大众合作或增厚长期业绩