鲍威尔释放降息信号！金价、油价，涨！

Group 1 - Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell indicated a potential adjustment in policy stance due to risks in employment growth and changing risk balance [1][4][5] - Powell expressed an openness to interest rate cuts, suggesting that the current economic conditions allow for cautious policy adjustments [4][5][6] - The U.S. stock market responded positively to Powell's dovish remarks, with major indices like the Dow Jones and S&P 500 reaching new highs [1][4] Group 2 - Powell highlighted that inflation risks have diminished while employment risks are on the rise, with the current policy rate being 100 basis points lower than a year ago [4][6] - The core PCE price index rose by 2.9% year-on-year in July, influenced by tariffs, indicating potential one-time price shocks [6] - Market expectations suggest a high probability (89.1%) of a 25 basis point rate cut by the Federal Reserve in September [6]