金晟富：8.23黄金大阳拉升多头起航？下周黄金趋势分析前瞻

Core Viewpoint - The article emphasizes the potential investment opportunities in the international gold market due to geopolitical tensions, economic sluggishness, and inflation concerns, particularly in light of recent comments from Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell suggesting a possible interest rate cut in September [1][2]. Group 1: Market Dynamics - The recent decline in the US dollar index has led to a significant increase in gold prices, with spot gold closing up $33.05 at $3,371.51 per ounce [1][2]. - Powell's speech at the Jackson Hole global central bank conference indicated a shift in the Federal Reserve's policy stance towards prioritizing employment and inflation balance, which has heightened expectations for a rate cut [2][3]. - The CME's FedWatch Tool shows an 85% probability of a rate cut in September, up from 75% prior to Powell's remarks, reflecting increased market confidence in a dovish monetary policy [2]. Group 2: Technical Analysis - Technical analysis indicates that the key support level for gold is around the previous resistance zone of $3,348-$3,350, which is expected to act as the first line of defense for bullish positions [4]. - The upper resistance level to watch is the $3,400 mark, which will be crucial for determining whether the bullish trend can continue [4]. - The gold market has shown a strong upward movement following Powell's dovish comments, with a recommendation to focus on buying on dips around the $3,350 level [4]. Group 3: Trading Strategies - Suggested trading strategies include selling on rebounds around $3,395-$3,398 with a target of $3,370-$3,360, and buying on dips around $3,350-$3,352 with a target of $3,375-$3,385 [4]. - Emphasis is placed on strict risk management, including setting stop-loss orders to mitigate potential losses [4].