英国专家严厉警告：中美若开战，极具毁灭性，战场不在国内！

Group 1 - The article discusses the escalating tensions between China and the United States, highlighting the potential for conflict to extend beyond traditional battlefields into cyberspace and outer space [1][16] - The historical context of Sino-American relations is outlined, noting significant events such as Nixon's visit in 1972 and China's accession to the WTO in 2001, which marked a shift towards economic interdependence [3][5] - The trade war initiated by the Trump administration in 2018, involving tariffs on $550 billion worth of Chinese goods, is identified as a key trigger for current tensions [7] Group 2 - China's Belt and Road Initiative is mentioned as a strategy to expand its market presence, with trade agreements signed with over 150 countries and trade volume exceeding $2 trillion by 2024 [9] - The military dynamics in the South China Sea are highlighted, with the U.S. Navy conducting over 120 freedom of navigation operations in 2024, while China enhances its military presence in the region [10][12] - The article notes the significant military sales from the U.S. to Taiwan, including an $8 billion arms deal in 2025, and China's corresponding military exercises in the Taiwan Strait [12][27] Group 3 - Cyber warfare is emphasized as a primary threat, with incidents such as the 2021 Colonial Pipeline attack and accusations of Chinese hacking resulting in significant economic losses [18][19] - The potential for a catastrophic impact on global financial systems due to cyber attacks is discussed, with simulations indicating losses of up to $2.5 trillion from a single incident [21] - The militarization of space is addressed, with both nations developing capabilities to target each other's satellites, raising concerns about the implications for global navigation and communication systems [23] Group 4 - The article warns that the South China Sea could be a flashpoint for conflict, with U.S. naval operations leading to close encounters with Chinese forces, increasing the risk of miscalculation [25] - Cultural and ideological differences are cited as exacerbating tensions, with U.S. narratives framing China's rise as a threat to global order [29][30] - The potential global economic repercussions of a conflict are outlined, estimating that a disruption in the South China Sea could lead to over $1 trillion in trade losses [32] Group 5 - The article suggests that diplomatic efforts are crucial to avoid war, highlighting recent high-level talks between U.S. and Chinese officials aimed at addressing trade disputes [34] - China's defense policy is characterized as defensive, focusing on economic stability and regional cooperation, with significant investments in renewable energy [36] - International collaboration is emphasized, with initiatives like the Digital Silk Road and discussions on space demilitarization reflecting a desire for constructive engagement [38][40]