美国 LNG 出口量激增，或将拉动页岩气产能迎增长潮

Core Insights - The U.S. LNG export volume is expected to surge at an annual rate of approximately 10% until 2030, with energy companies planning to double their LNG production capacity, providing a boost to the maturing shale industry facing growth slowdowns and rising costs [4]. Group 1: LNG Export Growth - The U.S. is projected to increase its LNG export volume from a record 11.9 billion cubic feet per day in 2024 to 21.5 billion cubic feet per day by 2030, driven by the growing global demand for this fuel [4]. - The development of new terminals for liquefying natural gas is underway to meet the increasing energy consumption and the global shift away from coal-fired power plants [4]. Group 2: Shale Production Forecast - Morgan Stanley forecasts a 41% increase in natural gas production in the Haynesville shale from 2024 to 2027, while the Permian Basin in Texas and New Mexico is expected to see a 21% increase [4]. - The Marcellus and Utica shales across Pennsylvania, Ohio, and West Virginia are estimated to experience a 9% production growth [4]. Group 3: Business Expansion and Investments - U.S. natural gas producers and investment firms are preparing to expand operations in the Haynesville region, supported by favorable federal licensing policies under the Trump administration [5]. - Major companies like Venture Global LNG and Cheniere Energy are advancing their LNG export facilities in Louisiana and Texas, respectively, indicating a robust pipeline of new projects [5].