Core Insights - The recent increase in tariffs to $28 billion has led to significant price hikes for consumers, contradicting the expectation that foreign entities would bear the cost [1][3][12] - A report from Goldman Sachs indicates that by October, consumers will absorb 67% of the tariff costs, a stark shift from earlier where businesses bore 64% of the costs [3][5] - The actual effective tariff rate has reached 18.6%, the highest in 90 years, resulting in an average additional cost of $2,400 per household [5][9] Tariff Impact on Consumers - Over 75% of businesses have opted to pass on tariff costs to consumers rather than absorbing them, leading to increased prices for everyday goods [3][5] - Specific price increases include a 37% rise in footwear and significant hikes in appliance prices, directly affecting consumer spending [3][5] Economic Consequences - The trade war has resulted in a decline in trade volume, with a 2% drop in physical imports in the first half of the year [7] - The U.S. is experiencing a potential stagnation combined with inflation, termed "stagflation," as the Federal Reserve grapples with the implications of rising prices and economic slowdown [9][12] Broader Trade Dynamics - The U.S. has seen a shift in trade partnerships, with China’s share of U.S. imports dropping below 9.5%, while other regions like ASEAN and Latin America are stepping in to fill the gap [7][9] - The agricultural sector is particularly hard hit, with U.S. farmers facing reduced demand and falling prices for their products due to shifting trade patterns [7][9] Long-term Outlook - The current tariff strategy is likened to a short-term financial boost with significant long-term negative consequences, as it fails to address underlying economic issues [9][12] - Historical parallels are drawn to the Smoot-Hawley Tariff Act of 1930, suggesting that current policies may lead to similar economic downturns [12][14]
7月美国关税收入达280亿美元，大涨273%？美国懵了，谁为贸易战买单？
Sou Hu Cai Jing·2025-08-23 16:51