隆基绿能(601012)：提效降费显著减亏 BC产品加速渗透

Core Viewpoint - The company reported a significant reduction in losses for the first half of 2025, with a revenue of 32.8 billion yuan, down 15% year-on-year, and a net profit loss of 2.569 billion yuan, showing a substantial improvement compared to the previous year [1] Financial Performance - In Q2, the company achieved a revenue of 19.2 billion yuan, a decrease of 8% year-on-year but an increase of 40% quarter-on-quarter [1] - The net profit loss in Q2 was 1.133 billion yuan, which is an improvement compared to the same period last year (loss of 2.893 billion yuan) and the previous quarter (loss of 1.436 billion yuan) [1] - The company’s silicon wafer shipment volume reached 52.08 GW, a year-on-year increase of 17%, while battery module shipments were 41.85 GW, up 23% year-on-year [2] Operational Efficiency - The reduction in operating expenses and asset impairment contributed to the significant narrowing of losses, with sales and management expenses decreasing by 37% and 23% year-on-year, respectively [2] - Despite the overall industry chain price drop leading to negative gross margins, the company managed to improve its sales gross margin by 3.4 percentage points to -0.8% quarter-on-quarter [2] Technological Advancements - The company’s advanced HPBC 2.0 technology is gaining market penetration, with a production yield of 97% and a conversion efficiency of 24.8% for mass-produced modules [3] - The HPBC 2.0 shipment volume reached approximately 4 GW in the first half of the year, with expectations that by the end of 2025, over 60% of the company’s high-efficiency battery capacity will come from this technology [3] - The overseas sales of silicon wafers increased by over 70% year-on-year, reflecting successful expansion into international markets [3] Industry Trends - The "anti-involution" trend in the photovoltaic industry is expected to drive price recovery and improve profitability, with recent price increases observed across multiple segments [4] - As of the end of Q2, the company had nearly 50 billion yuan in cash, with a debt-to-asset ratio of 60.72% and an interest-bearing debt ratio of 21.45%, indicating a relatively low debt pressure compared to the industry [4] Profit Forecast - The company adjusted its net profit forecasts for 2025-2027 to -3.07 billion yuan, 3.93 billion yuan, and 6.08 billion yuan, respectively, anticipating gradual improvement in profitability due to the acceleration of BC product penetration and the ongoing "anti-involution" efforts in the industry [5]