生猪价格迈入“6元时代” 为何生猪价持续下行？零售价降了多少？

Core Viewpoint - The continuous decline in pig prices is attributed to seasonal demand fluctuations, increased supply from concentrated market releases, and a current average pig-to-grain price ratio falling below 6:1, triggering government alerts for market stabilization [2][5]. Supply and Demand Analysis - Demand Side: The summer season traditionally sees reduced pork consumption, with consumers preferring lighter meals, leading to decreased demand for pork products [4][5]. - Supply Side: The current pig inventory is robust, with a breeding sow population of 40.43 million, exceeding reasonable levels by 3.7%, ensuring a steady supply of pigs for market [5]. Price Trends - Retail prices for pork have generally decreased this year, with leg meat prices dropping by 2-3 yuan per kilogram compared to the beginning of the year, currently ranging from 10.8 to 16.8 yuan per kilogram [3][4]. - As of August 23, the average price of live pigs in Chengdu was reported at 13.44 yuan per kilogram, marking a significant price drop [2][3]. Consumer Behavior - Consumers have noted minimal changes in their pork purchasing habits, with some reporting only a slight decrease in prices, indicating a low sensitivity to price changes during the summer season [4][5]. - Retailers have observed stable pricing with occasional promotional activities, reflecting a competitive market environment [3][4]. Market Outlook - Experts suggest that while short-term price declines may benefit consumers, prolonged low prices could lead to losses for farmers, potentially disrupting future supply and demand dynamics [5]. - Recommendations include rational adjustments in farming practices, enhanced market monitoring by government agencies, and improved coordination across the pork supply chain to ensure stability and profitability for both consumers and producers [5].