龙佰集团(002601)：钛白粉行业景气仍低 静待花开弹性大

Core Viewpoint - Longbai Group reported a decline in revenue and net profit for the first half of 2025, primarily due to falling titanium dioxide prices and low industry demand [1][2]. Financial Performance - In H1 2025, Longbai Group achieved total revenue of 13.342 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 3.35% - The net profit attributable to shareholders after deducting non-recurring items was 1.347 billion yuan, down 19.61% - In Q2 2025, revenue was 6.282 billion yuan, a decline of 3.5% year-on-year and 11.01% quarter-on-quarter - The net profit for Q2 was 688 million yuan, down 8.27% year-on-year [1][2]. Production and Sales - The company produced 682,200 tons of titanium dioxide in H1 2025, an increase of 5.02% year-on-year - Sales volume for titanium dioxide reached 612,000 tons, up 2.08% year-on-year - The average price of titanium dioxide in H1 2025 was 14,648.34 yuan per ton, a decrease of 9.87% year-on-year [2]. Market Conditions - The average price of titanium dioxide in Q2 2025 was 14,831 yuan per ton, down 9.79% year-on-year but up 2.53% quarter-on-quarter - As of August 18, 2025, the domestic average price of titanium dioxide fell to 13,274 yuan per ton, marking the lowest point of the year - The overall production of titanium dioxide in China for H1 2025 was 2.305 million tons, a slight decrease of 0.37% year-on-year [2][3]. Export Performance - In H1 2025, titanium dioxide exports reached 2.5166 million tons, a significant increase of 158.63% year-on-year - However, Q2 2025 exports were 415,600 tons, down 13.97% year-on-year and 17.05% quarter-on-quarter [2][3]. Shareholder Engagement - The company initiated a share repurchase plan in June 2025, having repurchased 1,564,600 shares by July 31, 2025, representing 0.0656% of total shares, with a total transaction amount of 25.48 million yuan - This move is aimed at enhancing shareholder value and reflects management's confidence in the company's long-term prospects [4]. Dividend Distribution - On June 10, 2025, the company completed its first-quarter dividend distribution, paying 5.00 yuan per 10 shares, totaling 1.186 billion yuan - This distribution aligns with the company's ongoing strategy to reward shareholders [5]. Earnings Forecast - Due to the downturn in the titanium dioxide industry, the company's revenue forecasts for 2025-2027 are adjusted to 27.582 billion, 29.885 billion, and 31.071 billion yuan respectively - Expected net profits for the same period are 2.684 billion, 3.603 billion, and 4.289 billion yuan, with corresponding EPS of 1.12, 1.51, and 1.80 yuan per share [6].