Core Viewpoint - WuXi Biologics has raised its full-year revenue guidance following its interim report, indicating a gradual recovery in the global biopharmaceutical R&D and production landscape, with the CRDMO model expected to contribute revenue across various stages of R&D [1][2] Group 1: Financial Projections - The company projects EPS for 2025, 2026, and 2027 to be 1.11, 1.28, and 1.49 CNY respectively [1] - A PE valuation method is applied, with a target PE multiple of 40 for 2025, leading to a target price of HKD 48.18 per share, maintaining a "Buy" rating [1] Group 2: Project Pipeline and Orders - The number of projects in the pipeline is expanding, with a record high of 86 new projects added in the first half of 2025, over half of which are from the U.S. [1] - The company has 864 projects as of the first half of 2025, including 67 in Phase III clinical trials and 24 in commercial production, laying a solid foundation for future revenue growth [1] - The total unfulfilled orders amount to USD 20.3 billion, with approximately USD 11.4 billion in service orders, driven by the advancement of Phase III projects and early-stage clinical progress [1] Group 3: Revenue Growth and Market Resilience - Revenue from the M-end continues to grow rapidly, with North America showing resilience, as preclinical revenue increased by 35.2% year-on-year, driven by research services and preclinical development projects [2] - Clinical Phase III and commercial revenue rose by 24.9% year-on-year, reflecting the maturation of early-stage projects and the ongoing ramp-up of existing commercial projects [2] - North American revenue grew by 20.1% year-on-year, demonstrating sustained demand resilience amid a dynamic trade environment [2] Group 4: CRDMO Model and Profit Potential - The CRDMO model is rare, with proprietary technology molecules expected to contribute revenue at various R&D stages [2] - For every USD 1 billion in proprietary technology drug sales, WuXi Biologics is expected to earn USD 100 million annually, with 100% of projects produced by WuXi exempt from cell line royalties [2] - Projects not produced by WuXi will incur a cell line royalty typically at 0.5% of drug sales, with gross margins exceeding 80%, potentially generating significant profits, and over 600 projects expected to generate potential cell line royalties by the end of 2025 [2]
药明生物(2269.HK)：上调全年指引 CRDMO模式价值凸显