「经济发展」黄益平：如何以品质竞争打破低价内卷？

Core Viewpoint - The main challenge facing the Chinese economy is to expand consumption and increase its contribution to GDP, as current consumption levels are significantly lower than the international average, leading to potential economic issues [3][4] Consumption Quality and Economic Impact - The current consumption quality is declining, which is evident from the low Consumer Price Index (CPI) of -0.1%, indicating a potential quality issue in consumer goods [4][5] - The "all-network lowest price" strategy in e-commerce may attract consumers but can lead to a decrease in product quality as suppliers lower prices to survive, resulting in a negative impact on economic growth [5][6] Information Asymmetry and Market Dynamics - The concept of "lemon markets" illustrates the consequences of information asymmetry, where buyers focus on price rather than quality due to the difficulty in assessing product quality [5][7] - Providing consumers with more information about product quality is essential to mitigate the issues arising from low-price competition [6][8] Research Findings on Brand and Quality Indices - A study conducted with Sun Yat-sen University developed two indices: the Consumption Brand Index and the Brand Purchasing Power Index, which measure brand quality and consumer spending [6][9] - The average Consumption Brand Index increased from 59.4 in Q1 2023 to 63.4 in Q1 2025, indicating a positive trend in brand quality despite overall pessimism about consumption [9][10] Regional Analysis of Brand Indices - The Brand Purchasing Power Index shows stronger purchasing power in eastern coastal regions, while the average Consumption Brand Index is unexpectedly high in certain northern regions [10][11] - Factors such as the proportion of migrant workers and employment in non-private sectors significantly influence brand purchasing power and average brand indices [11][12] Emerging Consumer Trends - New consumer trends are emerging, with brands like Pop Mart gaining popularity among younger consumers, indicating a shift towards quality and emotional experience in consumption [12][13] - The research highlights the importance of focusing on product quality information rather than solely on price signals, suggesting that both brand quality and consumer experience are crucial in the digital economy [13]