Zhongtai Securities(SH:600918) 智通财经网·2025-08-24 23:21Core Viewpoint - The report from Zhongtai Securities indicates that 2025 will be a recovery year for domestic offshore wind, with expectations for further growth in 2026 and beyond, driven by the commencement of key short-term projects and a rich pipeline of mid-to-long-term offshore wind approvals and deep-sea development trends [1][3] Group 1: Domestic Wind Power Market - The average bidding price for land wind turbines (excluding towers) is expected to rise from 1382 RMB/kW in the first half of 2024 to 1496 RMB/kW in the first half of 2025, reflecting an 8% year-on-year increase [2] - The average bidding price for land wind turbines (including towers) is projected to increase by 21% year-on-year to 2096 RMB/kW in the first half of 2025 [2] - The price stabilization and recovery trend for wind turbines since the second half of 2024 is expected to enhance the gross profit margin for wind turbines in the second half of 2025 or the first half of 2026 [2] Group 2: Offshore Wind Power Development - The year 2025 is anticipated to be a recovery year for domestic offshore wind, with significant project approvals and a clear trend towards deep-sea development, suggesting a new level of installed capacity during the 14th Five-Year Plan [3] - The domestic offshore wind turbine and overseas export turbine gross profit margins are significantly higher than those of domestic turbines, indicating that an increase in the proportion of dual-sea shipments by manufacturers will further improve profitability [4] Group 3: International Market Opportunities - In 2024, domestic wind turbine exports are expected to account for 14% of new installations in overseas markets, indicating substantial growth potential [4] - The average annual installation of overseas land wind is projected to be 61.5 GW and offshore wind 11.7 GW from 2025 to 2030, with significant contributions from regions such as Africa and Latin America [4] - Major domestic manufacturers have set ambitious delivery targets for 2025, with expected new order targets indicating a strong pipeline for future growth [4]