Di Yi Cai Jing Zi Xun·2025-08-25 01:01Market Overview - The international market experienced fluctuations last week, with the U.S. stock market showing mixed results. The Dow Jones increased by 1.53%, while the Nasdaq decreased by 0.58%. The S&P 500 rose by 0.27% [2] - European stock indices all rose, with the UK FTSE 100 up by 2.00%, Germany's DAX 30 up by 0.02%, and France's CAC 40 up by 0.58% [2] Economic Indicators - The upcoming U.S. Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) for July is a key economic indicator that will influence the Federal Reserve's future interest rate decisions [2] - In Europe, consumer confidence surveys will provide insights into the economic conditions following U.S. trade tariffs, along with inflation data from multiple countries in August [2] - In Asia, central bank meetings in South Korea and the Philippines are anticipated, with ongoing attention to the prospects of negotiations between Russia and Ukraine [2] Federal Reserve Insights - Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell expressed concerns about a weak job market and opened the door for potential interest rate cuts next month. The market anticipates a 89% chance of a rate cut in September [3] - Investors are looking for upcoming data to confirm these expectations, particularly regarding the impact of tariffs on inflation and the extent of the U.S. economic slowdown [3] - The core PCE data to be released next week is expected to be closely monitored, as strong data may necessitate the Fed to justify rate cuts with weak employment data [3] Additional Economic Data - Other data expected to provide insights into the U.S. economy includes July durable goods orders, August consumer confidence surveys, and weekly jobless claims [4] - HSBC economists predict that the second quarter GDP growth rate will be revised up from 3.0% to 3.2%, although they expect consumer confidence in August to remain low [4] Commodity Prices - International oil prices saw their first weekly increase in three weeks, with WTI crude oil rising by 2.71% to $63.66 per barrel and Brent crude oil increasing by 2.85% to $67.73 per barrel [5] - Gold prices stabilized and rebounded, with COMEX gold futures for August delivery rising by 1.15% to $3374.40 per ounce, driven by increased expectations for a rate cut [7] Corporate Earnings - Notable companies reporting earnings this week include Nvidia, CrowdStrike, Snowflake, and Micron Technology, along with Chinese companies Alibaba and Pinduoduo [4]