许安鸿：黄金强势或将继续上探，原油反弹言多为时尚早

Group 1: Federal Reserve and Economic Outlook - Federal Reserve Chairman Powell's dovish remarks at the Jackson Hole meeting boosted market expectations for a rate cut in September, leading to a significant drop in the US dollar index by 0.93% to 97.7, marking the largest single-day decline since early August [1] - Powell emphasized the downside risks to employment and indicated that current conditions warrant adjustments to monetary policy, signaling a likely interest rate cut [1] - The Fed's shift from a flexible inflation target to a simple 2% inflation target while maintaining focus on employment market shortages reflects a significant change in monetary policy framework [1] Group 2: Gold Market Analysis - Gold prices confirmed a breakout from a small descending wedge pattern, with an initial target pointing towards the recent high of 3409 [3] - A daily close above 3439 would trigger a clearer bullish signal, while any upward movement should be approached with caution due to the potential for false breakouts [3] - The overall trend for gold remains strong, with expectations for further upward movement, particularly if prices test the 3405-3410 range [3] Group 3: Oil Market Dynamics - International crude oil prices stabilized, marking the first increase in three weeks, with WTI crude futures closing at $63.75 per barrel, up 0.46% [4] - The lack of progress in Russia-Ukraine peace negotiations has contributed to market uncertainty, despite strong US crude oil consumption data [4] - Oil prices showed a strong upward trend after dipping to $61.40, but the increase has been modest, indicating a potential rebound rather than a definitive bottoming out [6]