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李宁(2331.HK):2025H1经营超预期 关注公司长期业绩改善
Ge Long Hui·2025-08-25 04:04

Core Viewpoint - The company reported a mixed performance for H1 2025, with revenue growth of 3.3% but a decline in net profit by 11%, indicating challenges in maintaining profitability despite revenue increases [1] Financial Performance - Revenue for H1 2025 reached 14.817 billion yuan, with a gross margin decrease of 0.4 percentage points to 50% due to deeper discounts in direct sales and an increased share of franchise channels [1] - Operating profit increased by 1.5% to 2.438 billion yuan, while net profit fell by 11% to 1.74 billion yuan, primarily due to adjustments in the domestic and foreign funding structure leading to higher tax provisions [1] - The company maintained a dividend payout ratio of 50%, consistent with the previous year, emphasizing shareholder returns [1] Business Segments Offline Business - Wholesale revenue grew by 5% to 6.48 billion yuan, while direct sales revenue declined by 4% to 3.23 billion yuan due to store adjustments aimed at improving profitability [2] - The number of direct and wholesale stores at the end of H1 2025 was 1,278 and 4,821 respectively, reflecting a net closure of 19 direct stores and an addition of 1 wholesale store [2] E-commerce - E-commerce sales showed strong growth with a high double-digit increase, outperforming offline sales, although retail discounts increased by approximately 1 percentage point [2] Product Performance - The company’s adult apparel revenue grew by 2%, with significant growth in running and training categories at 15% each, while basketball and lifestyle categories saw declines of 20% and 7% respectively [3] - The total sales of professional running shoes exceeded 14 million pairs, with key series performing well [3] - The children’s apparel segment also showed positive growth, with offline revenue increasing by 10%-20% and a net closure of 33 stores [3] Cash Flow and Inventory - Operating cash inflow for H1 2025 was 2.411 billion yuan, a decrease of 12%, but the company maintained a healthy cash reserve of 19.191 billion yuan, up 6% from the beginning of the year [3] - Inventory decreased by 7% to 2.4 billion yuan, with a healthy inventory turnover ratio maintained [3] Future Outlook - The company expects revenue for 2025 to remain flat, with a projected decline in net profit by 21.5% due to increased expenses related to Olympic sponsorships [4] - The company is focusing on optimizing product and marketing strategies, with plans to enhance brand influence through Olympic-related activities [4] - Long-term growth is anticipated through the expansion of product categories and improved operational efficiency [4] Earnings Forecast - Projected earnings for 2025-2027 are 2.366 billion, 2.540 billion, and 2.759 billion yuan respectively, with a PE ratio of 20 times for 2025 [5]