盛航股份(001205)：行业运价下调 公司半年度业绩承压

Core Viewpoint - The company reported a slight increase in revenue but a significant decline in net profit for the first half of 2025, primarily due to challenges in the chemical transportation market and increased operational costs [1][4]. Group 1: Financial Performance - In 1H2025, the company achieved operating revenue of 713 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 0.7%, but the net profit attributable to shareholders fell to 54 million yuan, down 44.2% [1]. - In Q2 2025, the company recorded operating revenue of 341 million yuan, a year-on-year growth of 3.1%, while net profit dropped 67.3% to 16 million yuan [1]. Group 2: Business Analysis - The growth in revenue is attributed to the acquisition of Shenghang Haoyuan, which expanded the company's refined oil business [2]. - Chemical transportation revenue decreased by 20.5%, with its revenue share declining by 19.7 percentage points to 74.2%, due to a downturn in macroeconomic conditions and freight rates [2]. - The refined oil business saw a remarkable revenue increase of 353.4%, raising its share by 19.6 percentage points to 25.13%, driven by enhanced capacity and customer resources post-acquisition [2]. - Domestic refined oil transportation volume surged by 486.2%, although freight rates faced downward pressure due to increased tanker capacity and slow growth in global chemical trade [2]. Group 3: Cost and Margin Analysis - The gross margin for 1H2025 was 23.5%, a decrease of 7.3 percentage points, primarily due to falling industry freight rates and increased operational costs from a larger fleet [3]. - The expense ratio for 1H2025 was 14.3%, a slight decrease of 0.44 percentage points, with management expenses down by 0.59 percentage points due to reduced downtime losses [3]. - The net profit margin for 1H2025 was 7.6%, down 6.1 percentage points year-on-year [3]. Group 4: Capacity Expansion - The company is expanding its capacity in the chemical and refined oil sectors through new vessel applications, acquisition of existing vessels, and equity purchases [3]. - New vessels, including a 6200 DWT oil-chemical dual-purpose ship and a 13500 DWT stainless steel chemical/refined oil ship, are expected to be operational in the second half of 2025 [3]. - The acquisition of Shenghang Haoyuan includes three vessels currently under construction, enhancing the company's operational capabilities [3]. Group 5: Profit Forecast and Valuation - Due to the challenging hazardous chemical transportation market, the company has revised its net profit forecasts for 2025-2027 to 140 million yuan, 170 million yuan, and 180 million yuan, respectively [4]. - The company maintains a "buy" rating despite the downward revision in profit expectations [4].