陈卓：印度为何也开始在涉台问题上反复横跳？

Core Points - The recent meeting between Chinese and Indian representatives highlighted the complexities of the Taiwan issue, with India expressing a commitment to the One China principle while simultaneously expanding economic and cultural ties with Taiwan [1][5][12] - India's trade with Taiwan has surpassed $10 billion for the first time in the 2023-2024 fiscal year, with a significant focus on electronic components and machinery [2][8] - Taiwanese investments in India have increased, with around 200 Taiwanese companies investing $4.5 billion, creating 170,000 jobs in India [2][8] - Labor cooperation is emerging as a new area of collaboration, with a memorandum of understanding signed to send approximately 5,000 Indian workers to Taiwan [4][8] - Security and strategic interactions between India and Taiwan are increasing, with discussions on defense and security issues taking place [5][10] - India's diplomatic strategy involves maintaining a cautious public stance on Taiwan while expanding practical cooperation, reflecting a calculated approach to balance relations with China and Taiwan [7][12] Economic Cooperation - The trade structure between India and Taiwan is primarily focused on electronic components, machinery, and information communication products [2][8] - The Indian government is leveraging Taiwanese expertise in the electronics sector to enhance its "Make in India" initiative, particularly in semiconductor manufacturing [2][8] - The increase in iPhone exports from India, reaching $12 billion, is a significant contributor to the country's manufacturing success [2][8] Labor and Employment - The labor cooperation agreement aims to address Taiwan's manufacturing labor shortages while providing economic benefits to India through remittances [4][8] - The Indian government is actively promoting labor exports to Taiwan despite domestic protests, indicating a strategic shift in its approach to Taiwan [4][8] Security and Strategic Interactions - The security dialogue between India and Taiwan has become more pronounced, with think tanks engaging in discussions about regional security dynamics [5][10] - Indian strategic analysts view the Taiwan issue as increasingly relevant to India's geopolitical and economic security, indicating a shift in perception [5][10] Diplomatic Strategy - India's diplomatic language regarding Taiwan has become more ambiguous, avoiding explicit commitments while fostering deeper ties [7][12] - The strategy reflects a broader trend of India navigating a complex geopolitical landscape, balancing its relations with both China and Taiwan [7][12]