越南制造、印度制造？抱歉，你们的命门，仍握在中国供应链手里！

Core Viewpoint - The migration of factories by major companies like Foxconn, Apple, and Samsung to countries such as Vietnam and India raises concerns about China's status as the "world's factory" and potential hollowing out of its manufacturing sector [1] Group 1: Understanding Factory Migration - Factory relocation does not equate to supply chain relocation; factories are often low-tech assembly lines that can move based on cost changes, while supply chains are complex ecosystems that are difficult to replicate [3] - The concept of "China +1" strategy indicates that China remains a core base for multinational companies, while Southeast Asia serves as backup factories [7] Group 2: Barriers to Supply Chain Migration - The first barrier is China's unique "supplier density," particularly in regions like the Pearl River Delta and Yangtze River Delta, which allows for efficient sourcing of components within a one-hour radius [5] - The second barrier is the stable and robust infrastructure in China, including reliable industrial power supply and advanced logistics systems, which are not easily matched by other countries [5] - The third barrier is the large pool of skilled engineers and industrial workers in China, which takes time to cultivate in other nations [5] Group 3: Implications of Factory Migration - The migration of factories primarily involves low-value assembly processes, while core components and high-end production equipment are still largely imported from China, indicating a "spillover" rather than a complete migration of the supply chain [9] - The overall trend of factory migration reflects China's proactive upgrade of its manufacturing sector, focusing on core technologies and high value-added products rather than competing solely on volume and low prices [9] - The future competitive landscape for China lies in high-tech fields such as chips and large aircraft, marking a transition from a manufacturing power to a manufacturing stronghold [11]