盾安环境(002011)：新能车热管理持续高增 第二曲线渐行渐近

Core Insights - The company reported better-than-expected performance for the first half of 2025, with revenue of 6.729 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 6%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 535 million yuan, up 13% [1] - In Q2 alone, the company achieved revenue of 3.708 billion yuan, a slight decline of 0.3% year-on-year, but net profit rose by 20% to 318 million yuan, exceeding previous forecasts [1] Business Segment Analysis - In the refrigeration parts segment, the company generated revenue of 5.412 billion yuan in the first half of 2025, reflecting a 9% year-on-year growth, slightly outperforming the industry average [1] - The domestic air conditioning market saw a total production of 120 million units, a 6.9% increase, and total sales of 123 million units, an 8.3% increase, driven by the "old-for-new" policy [1] - The refrigeration equipment segment faced challenges, with revenue declining by 31% to 483 million yuan due to reduced capital expenditure from traditional clients [2] - The new energy vehicle thermal management business thrived, achieving revenue of 481 million yuan, a significant 82% increase, benefiting from high downstream demand and client expansion [2] Market Outlook - The company maintains its "buy" investment rating, projecting net profits of 1.17 billion, 1.35 billion, and 1.59 billion yuan for 2025-2027, representing year-on-year growth rates of 12%, 15%, and 18% respectively [2] - The corresponding price-to-earnings ratios are expected to be 12, 11, and 9 times for the respective years [2]