Markets Mixed As Powell Highlights Jobs, AI Impact, And Rate Cuts

Market Overview - The stock market experienced mixed results, with tech shares negatively impacting performance; the Nasdaq Composite fell by 0.6%, while the S&P 500 rose by 0.3% and the Dow Jones Industrial Average increased by 1.5% [2] - Small cap stocks showed the best performance, gaining 3.3% [2] Federal Reserve Insights - Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell's speech at Jackson Hole highlighted the focus on the job market, noting recent weaknesses [3] - The current job market challenges may stem from trade policy changes and the impact of Artificial Intelligence (AI) on hiring practices [4] Employment Trends - There is a slowdown in job creation, particularly affecting entry-level positions, which could have long-term consequences on wage levels for recent graduates [4] Interest Rate Expectations - Following Powell's speech, the probability of a quarter-point rate cut in September rose above 90%, but has since decreased to 83% [5] Economic Data Releases - Upcoming economic reports include Durable Goods orders, expected to decline by 4%, and the Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) Index, which will be released later in the week [6] Nvidia and Chip Sector Developments - Nvidia accounts for 8% of the S&P 500 and is set to report earnings soon; the company is facing challenges as China has halted purchases of Nvidia H20 chips due to security concerns [7][10] - The geopolitical landscape raises questions about the ability of adversaries to develop competitive chip technology [8] Tariff News - Canada announced the removal of a 25% tariff on $21 billion of U.S. imports, effective September 1, while maintaining tariffs on U.S. steel, aluminum, and autos [9] Earnings Reports - Upcoming earnings reports include major retailers and tech companies, with Nvidia being a key focus due to its significant market presence [10]