外资唱多却偷偷跑路？主力正在撤离！明天紧盯这两个生死线

Core Viewpoint - The A-share market has reached a historic milestone with the Shanghai Composite Index soaring to 3880 points, marking a significant moment in the past decade, but underlying risks suggest a potential market correction is imminent [1][3]. Market Performance - The Shanghai Composite Index broke the 3880-point barrier, achieving a milestone that market participants have long anticipated, with the brokerage sector leading the charge [3]. - Despite the index's rise, only 2815 stocks advanced, indicating a divergence where the index increased while individual stocks did not, raising concerns about market sustainability [3]. - The trading volume reached 3.14 trillion yuan, the second-highest in A-share history, reflecting strong market enthusiasm but also highlighting inherent risks [3]. Warning Signals - The brokerage sector experienced a rapid decline after initial gains, with significant sell-offs totaling 6.26 billion yuan, indicating strong resistance against bullish momentum [5]. - Foreign capital showed contradictory behavior, with institutions like Goldman Sachs promoting small-cap stocks while quietly reducing holdings in leading companies in the new energy sector, reminiscent of past market manipulation strategies [5]. - Technical indicators such as the MACD and KDJ suggest overbought conditions, with historical data indicating a high probability of market pullbacks following similar signals [6]. Capital Flow Dynamics - There is a noticeable shift in capital from traditional energy stocks to emerging technology sectors, with cyclical stocks underperforming while tech stocks, particularly in robotics and optical modules, gained traction [9]. - Institutional investors are adjusting strategies towards defensive positions, with significant buying in the liquor sector, while foreign capital shows signs of retreat from small-cap stocks [9][10]. - A notable increase in both long and short positions in major securities indicates a hedging strategy among institutions, suggesting a cautious outlook amidst market volatility [10].