百利好早盘分析：降息或成定局 谨防利多耗尽

Group 1: Gold Market - The gold market is experiencing a period of consolidation following a shift to a dovish stance by Powell, which has strengthened short-term upward momentum, but there is a risk of the positive news being fully priced in [2] - Powell's indication of potential interest rate cuts is perceived as influenced by pressure from President Trump, raising questions about the independence of the Federal Reserve [2] - The technical analysis shows that gold has formed a small bullish candle on the daily chart, but there are signs of weakening upward momentum, with a critical support level at $3361 [2] Group 2: Oil Market - Oil prices have shown a slight rebound, but the strength and sustainability of this movement are limited, indicating a continuation of the downward trend [4] - Investors should monitor negotiations between Europe and Iran regarding nuclear issues, as successful talks could lead to increased Iranian production and exports, with a remaining capacity of at least 400,000 barrels per day [4] - The technical outlook for oil indicates a lack of upward momentum, with significant resistance at $65.30 [4] Group 3: Copper Market - The copper market is showing a series of small bearish candles, suggesting a potential adjustment to previous declines, with a high likelihood of forming a downward ABC pattern [6] - Key resistance is noted at $4.46, which should be monitored for potential price movements [6] Group 4: Nikkei 225 Index - The Nikkei 225 index has formed a bearish candlestick pattern, indicating that a mid-term adjustment has begun [7] - The hourly chart shows a consistent decline in high and low points, suggesting a high probability of a continuation pattern to the downside, with resistance at 43,000 [7]