Group 1 - The core viewpoint is that the wind turbine gearbox is a critical component in wind power generation, with high value and profitability, and is expected to release incremental elasticity due to the continuous growth of offshore wind power, the increasing share of doubly-fed and semi-direct drive models, and market share improvements [1] - The global demand for wind turbine gearboxes is rapidly increasing, with a projected demand of 26,000 units by 2026, corresponding to a market space of 41.5 billion yuan, representing a year-on-year growth of 22% [1] - The price of gearboxes is expected to rise significantly with increased power output, as seen in the example of a 5.XMW model priced at 1.5 million yuan per unit, where each 1MW increase in power output raises the price by 100,000 to 200,000 yuan [1] Group 2 - The wind turbine gearbox industry has high technical barriers and is relatively concentrated, with the top four companies accounting for over 70% of the global market share in 2024 [2] - The major players in the global market include South High Gear, Weichai Power, Delijia, and ZF, with South High Gear holding a dominant position in the domestic market [2] - The profitability of the industry is strong, with Delijia's gross margin estimated to be between 22% and 25% [2]
中泰证券:稀缺通胀环节 齿轮箱产业格局优盈利好