Group 1 - The article highlights a threefold logic driving the market: expectations of interest rate cuts, supportive policies, and performance-driven factors [1] - Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell unexpectedly released dovish signals at the Jackson Hole conference, significantly strengthening the expectation of a rate cut in September, which accelerates capital inflow into emerging markets and improves liquidity in the Hong Kong stock market [1] - Shanghai has introduced new real estate policies, including reducing purchase restrictions and optimizing credit, further confirming the ongoing structural policy support that injects new catalytic momentum into the market [1] Group 2 - Despite the significant recovery in Hong Kong stock valuations, with the Hang Seng Index's forecast PE approaching the 80th percentile of the past seven years, the market still has upward support due to decreased external monetary policy uncertainty and increased internal policies aimed at reducing competition and supporting industries [1] - The article suggests focusing on technology leaders with strong performance certainty, cyclical sectors benefiting from policies, financial stocks, and commodities that benefit from the global liquidity shift [1]
【大行报告】中泰国际：港股流动性改善 市场仍具上行支撑
Sou Hu Cai Jing·2025-08-26 02:28