Qian Zhan Wang·2025-08-26 03:10Industry Overview - AI toys are products that integrate AI technology with traditional toys, offering interactive and personalized experiences through voice recognition, image recognition, natural language processing, deep learning, and emotional analysis [1][4] - The advantages of AI toys include multimodal interaction, emotional understanding and feedback, and intelligent learning and adaptation [3] Industry Chain Analysis - The upstream of the AI toy industry chain includes raw materials (metals, textiles, plastics), hardware (chips, sensors, batteries), and software (AI technologies) [4][5] - The midstream involves the design and manufacturing of AI toy products, including smart dolls, robot toys, AI plush toys, and AI-themed merchandise [4][5] - The downstream consists of sales channels, including offline retail and online e-commerce platforms [4][5] Industry Development History - The period before 2020 was characterized as a technology exploration phase, with limited AI applications in children's educational hardware [6][10] - From 2020 to 2023, the market entered a budding phase, with the introduction of interactive products and policy support for AI education, although product functionality was often homogeneous [6][10] - Post-2024, the industry is expected to enter a rapid development phase, with multimodal interaction becoming standard and significant advancements in AI technology [6][10] Industry Policy Direction - The government is promoting the "Artificial Intelligence +" action plan, which aims to integrate AI with traditional and emerging industries, creating a conducive environment for AI toy development [11][12] Current Industry Status - The toy market in China is projected to exceed 150 billion yuan in 2024, with AI toys expected to reach a market size of approximately 246 billion yuan [14][22] - The number of registered AI toy companies has shown a fluctuating trend, with a peak in 2019 and a decline in new registrations from 2021 to 2025 due to increased technical barriers and market regulation [15] Competitive Landscape - The AI toy market features a diverse competitive landscape, including traditional toy companies, tech startups, internet tech firms, and companies with strong IP reserves [21][22] - AI toy prices vary significantly, ranging from around 300-400 yuan for basic models to over 10,000 yuan for high-end products with advanced features [17][21] Future Development Trends - The AI toy market is expected to continue expanding, with a focus on emotional connection and deep companionship, targeting not only children but also young adults and the elderly [22] - By 2030, the AI toy market in China is predicted to exceed 700 billion yuan, driven by the integration of AI technology into various toy categories [22]