白银价格预测：白银在39.00美元附近巩固此前涨幅，有望创下多年新高

Core Viewpoint - The recent speech by Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell at Jackson Hole has reinforced expectations for a rate cut in September, leading to a stabilization of the dollar and U.S. Treasury yields, which in turn has supported silver prices [1]. Group 1: Market Dynamics - Silver prices have consolidated gains, holding above key support levels around $38.00, with the 100-day moving average and the upper boundary of a triangle trendline providing strong support [1]. - Following Powell's dovish remarks, silver broke above the upper boundary of a symmetrical triangle, reaching its highest level since July 25 [1]. - As of the latest update, silver is priced around $38.90, having seen a low of $38.57 during European trading hours [1]. Group 2: Technical Analysis - The breakout above the triangle trendline and the psychological resistance at $38.00 indicates a significant shift in momentum, confirming that the overall upward trend is likely to continue [3]. - Momentum indicators remain bullish, with the Relative Strength Index (RSI) rising to 68, suggesting strong underlying demand despite nearing overbought territory [3]. - The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) shows a bullish crossover above the signal line, with an increasing histogram confirming the establishment of bullish momentum [3]. Group 3: Future Outlook - If silver prices continue to break above the recent high of $39.06, it may open the door to test the next key resistance level at $39.53, which is a multi-year high [3]. - Initial support is seen at $38.50, followed by the 100-day moving average around $37.98, which aligns with the upper boundary of the triangle formation [3]. - A drop below this support zone could lead to a retest of the pivot level at $37.50, which has previously triggered a rebound; however, sustained declines below this level would indicate a bearish shift and could push prices down to $37.00 [3].