高达262%关税！中国木制橱柜出口美国面临“高墙”转口策略或成关键

Core Viewpoint - The U.S. International Trade Commission (ITC) has ruled to continue anti-dumping and countervailing duties on wooden cabinets and vanities imported from China, indicating that lifting these measures would likely harm the U.S. domestic industry [1] Timeline of Events - March 27, 2019: The U.S. Department of Commerce initiated anti-dumping and countervailing investigations on Chinese wooden cabinets and vanities [3] - February 24, 2020: The U.S. Department of Commerce issued a positive final ruling, implementing the "double remedy" measures [3] - March 3, 2025: The first sunset review investigation for the "double remedy" measures was initiated [3] - July 2, 2025: The U.S. Department of Commerce issued a rapid final ruling for the first countervailing sunset review [3] - July 3, 2025: The U.S. Department of Commerce issued a rapid final ruling for the first anti-dumping sunset review [3] - August 21, 2025: ITC confirmed the continuation of the "double remedy" measures [3] Tariff Rates - The anti-dumping tariff rates for Chinese wooden cabinets and vanities remain high: - Jiangsu Hongjia Wood Industry Co., Ltd.: 4.37% - Rizhao Fukai Wood Industry Co., Ltd.: 101.46% - Dalian Meisen Woodworking Co., Ltd.: 262.18% - Other companies with separate rates: 48.5% - Companies without separate rates: 262.18% [3] Industry Impact - The high tariff rates significantly weaken the competitiveness of Chinese wooden cabinets and vanities in the U.S. market, leading to potential loss of market share and even exit from the market for some companies [5] - There are concerns that without effective strategies, the global layout and supply chain stability of Chinese companies will face further challenges [5] Third-Country Transshipment Trade - In light of the ongoing high tariff barriers, the industry is shifting focus towards third-country transshipment trade routes, utilizing countries like Malaysia and Turkey to mitigate tariff pressures [6] - This approach may provide short-term relief for exporters while maintaining some export channels, although legal and policy risks remain [6] Future Strategies - Analysts suggest that Chinese companies may need to adopt several strategies: - Diversifying market presence by exploring emerging markets in Southeast Asia and the Middle East to reduce reliance on the U.S. [6] - Exploring transshipment trade while ensuring compliance with customs and trade regulations [6] - Upgrading products and value chains through design, craftsmanship, and service differentiation to lessen dependence on price advantages [6][7] Long-term Outlook - The sustained enforcement of the "double remedy" measures reflects a long-term trend of protectionism in the U.S. home building materials sector [6] - The pressure on Chinese wooden cabinet and vanity exporters remains significant under the maximum tariff rate of 262.18%, necessitating a focus on enhancing competitiveness and optimizing industry layout for robust supply chain and market development [7]