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申万宏源:治超加码推动运输结构调优 合规运力有望受益
Zhi Tong Cai Jing·2025-08-26 06:47

Core Viewpoint - The implementation of strict transportation regulations and the trend of "anti-involution" among manufacturers are expected to benefit compliant logistics capacity in the automotive transportation sector, promoting a shift towards "road-to-rail," "road-to-water," and multimodal transport [1][2] Group 1: Regulatory Changes - The Ministry of Transport, Ministry of Public Security, and Ministry of Industry and Information Technology jointly issued a special governance action plan for vehicle transport, focusing on stricter market access, enhanced loading supervision, and increased enforcement [2] - The enforcement of these regulations is expected to be more rigorous compared to previous measures from 2016-2018, with severe penalties for non-compliant companies [2] Group 2: Market Dynamics - The automotive transportation industry is transitioning from price competition to high-quality development, with compliant companies likely to gain greater market share and pricing power [2] - The traditional peak season for automotive production and sales from September to December will see increased acceptance of rising transportation prices due to heightened supply demands [2] Group 3: Impact on Logistics Structure - The current logistics structure for vehicle transportation is predominantly road-based, with projections for 2024 showing road transport at 61.5%, rail at 27.4%, and roll-on/roll-off at 11.1% [3] - The strict enforcement of transportation regulations is expected to increase traditional road transport costs, driving a shift towards rail and water transport, thereby optimizing the logistics model [3]