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华鑫证券:首次覆盖大族数控给予买入评级

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the report is that Dazhu CNC is positioned to benefit from the AI-driven growth in the PCB industry, with significant revenue and profit increases projected for 2024 and 2025 [1][4] - The global PCB industry is expected to grow by 5.8% in 2024, with high-layer and HDI board revenues increasing by 40.2% and 18.8% respectively, driven by demand from AI servers and automotive electronics [1][2] - Dazhu CNC's revenue and net profit are projected to increase by 104.56% and 120.82% year-on-year in 2024, with continued high growth into Q1 2025 [1][4] Group 2 - The company is advancing a dual strategy of domestic substitution and overseas expansion, enhancing its global supply chain capabilities [2] - Dazhu CNC's core products are rapidly replacing imports, with 80% of its clients being among the top 100 global PCB companies, and significant growth in overseas sales projected for 2024 [2] - The company plans to submit a listing application to the Hong Kong Stock Exchange in May 2025, aiming to establish an "A+H" dual capital platform [2] Group 3 - Dazhu CNC is integrating vertically to strengthen its competitive edge, offering a comprehensive product matrix that covers all key processes in PCB manufacturing [3] - The company has introduced preventive maintenance and lifecycle value-added services, enhancing customer relationships and creating a competitive barrier [3] - Strategic partnerships with leading domestic companies are being formed to drive innovation and technology upgrades, increasing the revenue share from the top five clients to 22.6% by 2024 [3] Group 4 - Revenue forecasts for Dazhu CNC are projected at 45.13 billion, 56.87 billion, and 67.31 billion yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, with corresponding EPS of 1.30, 1.89, and 2.54 yuan [4] - The current stock price corresponds to PE ratios of 68.4, 47.2, and 35.2 for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027, reflecting the company's strong position in the PCB equipment sector [4]