美国7月耐用品订单环比初值-2.8%超预期，核心资本品订单创近三年最快增速

Group 1 - The core point of the article highlights that despite a decline in total durable goods orders in July, core capital goods orders have shown the fastest growth in nearly three years, indicating a strengthening in U.S. business investment [1][2][4] - The U.S. Department of Commerce reported a month-over-month decline of 2.8% in durable goods orders, with a year-over-year increase slowing to 3.5% due to volatility in Boeing orders and the fading effect of preemptive orders caused by previous tariff policies [1][4] - Core capital goods orders, excluding aircraft and military hardware, rebounded by 1.06% after a revised decline of 0.6% in June, marking the fourth consecutive month of growth, which alleviates concerns about an economic slowdown [2][4] Group 2 - The details of core orders reveal underlying strength in the U.S. business sector, with durable goods orders excluding transportation equipment showing a year-over-year growth of 3.8%, the fastest since November 2022 [4] - Non-defense capital goods shipments, which directly contribute to GDP, increased by 0.7% month-over-month, with previous month data also revised upward, providing a positive outlook for the third quarter [4] - Investment in artificial intelligence is emerging as a new growth point, with companies increasing equipment spending to accelerate AI applications, which could enhance productivity and offset higher costs, including import tariffs [6][7] Group 3 - The report indicates growth in orders for electrical equipment, computers, machinery, and metals in July, along with a rebound in automotive orders, reflecting a recovery in investment demand across multiple industries [7] - Despite the growth observed, economists anticipate that business investment will remain weak for the remainder of the year, although investment activity is expected to accelerate by 2026 following tax incentives from recent legislation [7]