CSPC PHARMACEUTICAL(1093.HK)：TWO MORE LARGE-SCALE BD DEALS ANTICIPATED IN 2H25

Group 1: Financial Performance - CSPC reported total revenue of RMB13.3 billion in 1H25, with core revenue at RMB12.2 billion, down 25% YoY and 4% HoH, representing 44% of the prior FY25 estimate [1] - In 2Q25, core revenue declined by 6% QoQ and 22% YoY, primarily due to softness in NBP sales and volume-based procurement impacts [1] - Attributable net profit reached RMB2.5 billion, representing 45% of the previous full-year FY25 forecast [1] Group 2: Business Development (BD) Opportunities - CSPC has secured six out-licensing deals since late 2024, with a recent deal involving an AI-powered small molecule discovery platform licensed to AstraZeneca valued over US$5 billion [2] - Management anticipates two additional large-scale BD deals in 2H25, each expected to exceed US$5 billion, including an EGFR ADC and a platform-based out-licensing [2] - CSPC has a robust pipeline of 40-50 assets with BD potential, including high-profile candidates like EGFR ADC and PD-1/IL-15 bsAb [2] Group 3: Product Development and Clinical Trials - SYS6010, an EGFR ADC, is in global Phase 3 development with pivotal studies ongoing in China for NSCLC [3] - CSPC plans to achieve First Patient In (FPI) for two Phase 3 trials in 2H25 in the US, comparing SYS6010 to docetaxel in EGFR wild-type NSCLC [3] - SYS6010 mono has shown an encouraging median progression-free survival of 7.6 months in EGFR-mutant NSCLC patients post-TKI and chemotherapy [3] Group 4: Investment Outlook - CSPC's BD deals are expected to be a key sustainable driver of earnings growth, leading to a revision of the target price from HK$10.08 to HK$12.11 [4]