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名创优品(09896.HK):25H1超预期 看好同店恢复+北美快速扩张
Ge Long Hui·2025-08-26 19:14

Core Viewpoint - The company has exceeded performance expectations in H1 2025, with a slight decline in profitability, driven by strong revenue growth and strategic expansion in both domestic and overseas markets [1][2]. Group 1: Financial Performance - In Q2 2025, the company achieved revenue of 4.966 billion yuan, a 23.1% increase, surpassing the previous estimate of 4.84 billion yuan, with adjusted operating profit of 0.852 billion yuan and an operating profit margin of 17.2% [1]. - For H1 2025, the company reported revenue of 9.393 billion yuan, a 21.1% increase, with adjusted net profit of 1.279 billion yuan, showing a slight year-on-year increase, and an adjusted net profit margin of 13.6% [1]. Group 2: Regional Performance - In mainland China, the company generated revenue of 5.827 billion yuan, a 15.9% increase, with a slight decline in the number of direct stores and partner stores [1]. - The overseas market achieved revenue of 3.566 billion yuan, a 30.5% increase, with North America contributing 1.295 billion yuan, a 69.7% increase, accounting for 13.79% of total revenue [1]. Group 3: Strategic Initiatives - The company is implementing a large store strategy, with large stores currently making up 5% of total stores in mainland China and contributing to double-digit percentage growth [2]. - The company is focusing on localized expansion overseas, with a recent successful opening of three stores in Austin, Texas, enhancing brand recognition and customer traffic [2]. - The company is increasing investment in IP, balancing international licensed IP and proprietary IP, with expectations for proprietary IP to drive significant sales growth [2]. Group 4: Investment Outlook - The company is expected to maintain high growth driven by same-store recovery and rapid overseas expansion, with projected revenues of 21.242 billion yuan, 25.574 billion yuan, and 29.407 billion yuan for 2025-2027 [3]. - The forecasted net profit for the same period is 2.413 billion yuan, 3.467 billion yuan, and 4.323 billion yuan, with corresponding PE ratios of 22.14, 15.41, and 12.36 [3].