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赢家时尚(03709.HK):业绩表现符合预期 盈利能力提升 资产质量稳健

Core Viewpoint - The company reported its mid-year performance for 2025, which met expectations, with a revenue of 3.104 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 6.1%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 289 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 2.2% due to significant reductions in share-based compensation expenses [1] Group 1: Brand Performance - Among the main brands, Koradior saw a slight revenue decline of 1.2% to 1.04 billion yuan, accounting for 33.6% of total revenue, with a net reduction of 22 stores to 654 [1] - NAERSI's revenue decreased by 10.9% to 655 million yuan, representing 21.1% of total revenue, with a net reduction of 11 stores to 425 [1] - La Koradior stood out with a revenue increase of 9.7% to 280 million yuan, despite a net reduction of 3 stores [1] Group 2: Channel Performance - E-commerce maintained steady growth for 12 consecutive years, with online revenue increasing by 8.9% to 595 million yuan, accounting for 19.2% of total revenue, and a gross margin increase of 2.3 percentage points to 63.4% [2] - The company optimized its offline store strategy, closing a net total of 74 stores, bringing the total to 1,765, with a direct retail revenue decrease of 7.7% to 2.431 billion yuan, accounting for 78.3% of total revenue [3] Group 3: Financial Performance - The company achieved a significant increase in net cash flow from operating activities, reaching 896 million yuan, a year-on-year growth of 98.3% [4] - The overall gross margin remained stable at 76.4%, with a notable reduction in selling and distribution expenses by 8.1% [3] - The net profit margin attributable to shareholders increased by 0.8 percentage points to 9.3% due to improved operating profit and reduced share-based compensation expenses [3] Group 4: Future Outlook - The company aims to establish itself as a leading Chinese light luxury brand management group, with expectations for stronger growth momentum under new positioning and management upgrades [4] - Profit forecasts for 2025-2027 have been adjusted downwards, with expected net profits of 510 million, 550 million, and 590 million yuan respectively [4] - The company is compared to peers in the mid-to-high-end women's wear sector, with a target price-to-earnings ratio of 10 times, indicating a potential upside of 13% from the current market value [4]