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吉利汽车(0175.HK):核心净利高速增长 海外布局进入攻坚期
Ge Long Hui·2025-08-26 20:09

Core Viewpoint - Geely Automobile has demonstrated strong performance in the first half of 2025, with significant revenue growth and a notable increase in core net profit, despite challenges in net profit due to foreign exchange losses and other factors [1][2]. Financial Performance - Total revenue for the first half of 2025 reached 150.28 billion RMB, a year-on-year increase of 26.5%, marking a historical high [1]. - Net profit attributable to shareholders was 9.29 billion RMB, down 13.9% year-on-year; however, core net profit, excluding foreign exchange gains and other one-time items, was 6.66 billion RMB, up 102% year-on-year [1]. - In Q2 alone, the company achieved revenue of 77.79 billion RMB, with year-on-year and quarter-on-quarter increases of 28.4% and 7.3%, respectively [1]. - The overall gross margin slightly decreased by 0.3 percentage points to 16.4%, attributed to the increased sales of economical new energy vehicles and intensified industry price competition [1][2]. Cost Management - Selling and administrative expense ratios decreased by 1.0 and 0.7 percentage points to 5.6% and 1.9%, respectively, indicating effective scale effects and channel integration [2]. - R&D investment decreased by 8.6% to 8.35 billion RMB, primarily focused on new energy and intelligent technology, with an R&D expense ratio down by 1.1 percentage points to 6.6% [2]. - Despite a decrease in average selling price by 14,000 RMB to 96,000 RMB, the core net profit per vehicle increased by 37% to 4,724 RMB [2]. Sales Performance - Total sales volume reached 1.409 million vehicles, a year-on-year increase of 47.4%, significantly outpacing the domestic passenger vehicle industry's growth of 13% [2]. - New energy vehicle sales surged to 725,000 units, up 126.5%, accounting for 51.5% of total sales [2]. - The company has raised its sales target for the year to 3 million vehicles, increasing the growth rate forecast from 25% to 38% [2]. International Expansion - The company exported 184,000 vehicles, a decrease of 7.7% year-on-year, primarily due to challenges in the Eastern European market; however, new energy vehicle exports increased by 146% to 40,000 units [3]. - Geely has established five overseas regions to accelerate its international strategy, focusing on organizational structure, resource allocation, after-sales service, and product planning [3]. Strategic Moves - Geely announced plans to privatize Zeekr (ZK.N), making it a wholly-owned subsidiary, which is part of its strategy to streamline operations and enhance synergies among its brands [3][4]. - The company plans to launch 10 new models in 2025, with positive market feedback for recently launched models indicating strong potential for future sales [4]. Investment Outlook - Based on the latest financial data and projections, the company has adjusted its EPS estimates for 2025, 2026, and 2027 to 1.537, 1.852, and 2.320 RMB, respectively [5]. - The target price has been adjusted to 24.3 HKD, corresponding to projected P/E ratios of 14.4, 12, and 9.6 for 2025, 2026, and 2027 [5].