Zhi Tong Cai Jing·2025-08-27 01:46Core Viewpoint - CICC maintains an "outperform" rating for China National Pharmaceutical Group (01099) with a target price of HKD 24.7, indicating a potential upside of 27.2% based on projected earnings multiples for 2025 and 2026 [2] Financial Performance - For the first half of 2025, the company reported revenue of RMB 286.04 billion, a decrease of 2.95% year-on-year, and a net profit of RMB 3.466 billion, down 6.43% year-on-year, with earnings per share of RMB 1.11, aligning with CICC's expectations [2] - The net profit forecasts for 2025 and 2026 are RMB 7.475 billion and RMB 7.926 billion, respectively, both reflecting a year-on-year growth of 6.0% [2] Business Segments - Pharmaceutical Distribution: Revenue for pharmaceutical distribution in 1H25 was RMB 218.53 billion, down 3.52% year-on-year, with an operating profit margin of 2.58%, a decrease of 0.17 percentage points due to ongoing industry challenges [3] - Medical Device Distribution: Revenue for medical device distribution was RMB 57.05 billion, down 2.46% year-on-year, with an operating profit margin of 1.92%, a decline of 0.33 percentage points, impacted by price reductions from centralized procurement [3] - Retail Pharmacy: Retail revenue increased by 3.65% year-on-year to RMB 17.16 billion, with an operating profit margin of 2.68%, up 1.13 percentage points, benefiting from revenue growth and cost reduction strategies [4] Operational Metrics - The overall gross margin for 1H25 was 7.11%, down 0.33 percentage points, primarily due to a slight decrease in the proportion of high-margin businesses [5] - The sales expense ratio was 2.74%, down 0.13 percentage points, while the management expense ratio was 1.28%, down 0.05 percentage points, and the financial expense ratio was 0.35%, down 0.02 percentage points [5] Strategic Outlook - The company aims to strengthen its market leadership through differentiated regional business strategies and optimization of its business structure [3] - The dual-brand strategy focusing on professional pharmacies and Guoda pharmacies is expected to drive high-quality growth [4]