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重庆水务(601158):业绩稳健增长 高比例分红彰显信心

Core Viewpoint - The company reported steady growth in performance, driven primarily by its wastewater treatment business, with a revenue of 3.519 billion yuan and a net profit of 458 million yuan for the first half of 2025, reflecting year-on-year increases of 7% and 10% respectively [2] Business Performance - The wastewater treatment segment is the main growth engine, generating 2.153 billion yuan in revenue, a year-on-year increase of 11%, with a gross margin improvement of 2.84 percentage points to 35.94%, attributed to increased capacity and price adjustments [2] - The water supply business remained stable, achieving revenue of 842 million yuan, a 4% year-on-year growth, although gross margin declined due to rising costs [2] - The company demonstrated strong operational quality, with net cash flow from operating activities increasing by 109.43% year-on-year, mainly due to increased funding from the Chongqing Municipal Finance Bureau for wastewater treatment [2] Strategic Initiatives - The company is actively pursuing external mergers and acquisitions, completing the acquisition of a 51% stake in Chongqing Quality Water Supply Co., and establishing a pipeline operation company in collaboration with the Water Environment Group [3] - Ongoing absorption and merger of subsidiaries aim to optimize management structure and regional integration, with plans for high-quality water supply assets from Chongqing Water Investment to be injected into the company in the future [3] Shareholder Returns - The company maintains a high cash dividend policy, distributing 80.09% of the previous year's net profit as dividends, and has proposed a mid-year cash dividend of 0.026 yuan per share for 2025, reflecting confidence in future operations [3] - The successful issuance of 1.9 billion yuan in convertible bonds has optimized the capital structure, providing funding for acquisitions and supporting the company's core business development [3] Profit Forecast - The company is projected to achieve revenues of 7.351 billion yuan, 7.740 billion yuan, and 8.166 billion yuan for 2025-2027, with year-on-year growth rates of 5.02%, 5.29%, and 5.51% respectively, and net profits of 883 million yuan, 888 million yuan, and 932 million yuan, reflecting growth rates of 12.51%, 0.58%, and 4.93% [4] - Based on the closing price on August 25, 2025, the corresponding PE ratios are expected to be 25.87, 25.72, and 24.51, with EPS of 0.18, 0.19, and 0.19 yuan [4]