SAILUN GROUP(SH:601058) Xin Lang Cai Jing·2025-08-27 06:26Core Viewpoint - The company reported a mixed performance in the first half of 2025, with revenue growth but a decline in net profit, indicating challenges in the external operating environment and profitability pressures [1][2]. Financial Performance - In the first half of 2025, the company achieved operating revenue of 17.59 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 16.1% [1] - The net profit attributable to shareholders was 1.83 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 14.9% [1] - The adjusted net profit was also 1.83 billion yuan, down 11.1% year-on-year [1] - In Q2 2025, the company reported operating revenue of 9.18 billion yuan, with year-on-year and quarter-on-quarter increases of 16.8% and 9.1%, respectively [1] - The net profit for Q2 was 790 million yuan, reflecting a year-on-year decline of 29.1% and a quarter-on-quarter decline of 23.7% [1] Market Environment - The external operating environment faced challenges in the first half of 2025, impacting profitability [2] - Global tire demand saw a slight increase, with the company’s tire production and sales reaching 40.6 million and 39.14 million units, respectively, representing year-on-year increases of 15% and 13% [2] - Key raw material prices decreased in Q2, with natural rubber, butadiene rubber, styrene-butadiene rubber, and carbon black prices dropping by 14%, 16%, 17%, and 8% respectively [2] - The overall procurement price of major raw materials fell by 4.6% quarter-on-quarter [2] - Trade tensions escalated, with the U.S. expanding tariffs and the EU initiating anti-dumping investigations on tires from China, adding to industry challenges [2] Strategic Developments - The company is advancing its global capacity layout with investments in Egypt and the acquisition of Bridgestone's Shenyang factory [3] - The Egypt project aims for an annual production capacity of 3.6 million radial tires, with a total investment of approximately 290 million USD and an 18-month construction period [3] - The acquisition of the Shenyang factory, previously Bridgestone, will undergo expansion to achieve an annual capacity of 3.3 million steel radial tires and 20,000 tons of non-road tires, with a total investment of about 1.7 billion yuan and an 18-month construction period [3] Profit Forecast and Valuation - Revenue projections for 2025-2027 are 36.96 billion, 44.70 billion, and 53.52 billion yuan, with year-on-year growth rates of 16.2%, 20.9%, and 19.7% respectively [4] - Expected net profits for the same period are 4.14 billion, 5.05 billion, and 6.03 billion yuan, with year-on-year growth rates of 1.8%, 22.0%, and 19.5% respectively [4] - Based on the closing price on August 25, the corresponding PE ratios are projected to be 11, 9, and 7 times [4]