Group 1: Gold Market - Gold prices experienced a slight increase overnight, but the overall trend appears weak, indicating that the market may have already priced in the interest rate cut expectations [1] - The Federal Reserve's recent meeting minutes show a consensus among officials that maintaining the benchmark interest rate between 4.25% and 4.50% is appropriate, reflecting a strong agreement on the current rate level [1] - Technical analysis indicates that gold is approaching previous highs with signs of overbought conditions, suggesting a potential short-term pullback [1] Group 2: Oil Market - Oil prices remain weak, with indications that the mid-term rebound may be nearing its end, despite seasonal demand providing some support [3] - Recent data shows a decrease in U.S. crude oil inventories by 974,000 barrels, which is less than the expected decline of 1.725 million barrels, indicating a narrowing overall decline [3] - Global oil demand growth is expected to slow to an average of 650,000 barrels per day for the remainder of the year, down from an average of 990,000 barrels per day in the first quarter [3] Group 3: Copper Market - Copper prices have shown a series of small declines, suggesting a potential adjustment to previous significant declines, with a high likelihood of forming a downward ABC pattern [5] - The short-term outlook for copper indicates a possible rebound as prices return to a previous high transaction area, with a support level to watch at $4.44 [5] Group 4: Nikkei 225 Index - The Nikkei 225 index has formed a bearish candlestick pattern, indicating that a mid-term adjustment has begun [5] - The short-term downtrend structure is nearing completion, with a critical resistance level at 42,610; failure to break this level may lead to a decline towards 41,460 [5]
智昇黄金原油分析：降息或已成定局 降幅或低于预期
Sou Hu Cai Jing·2025-08-27 06:30