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安利股份(300218):安利越南持续减亏 下半年产能释放有望带动业绩稳健增长

Core Viewpoint - The company reported a slight decline in revenue for the first half of 2025, but managed to achieve a modest increase in net profit, indicating resilience in profitability despite revenue challenges [1][2]. Financial Performance - In the first half of 2025, the company achieved revenue of 1.1 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 2.4%, while net profit attributable to shareholders was 90 million yuan, an increase of 0.9% year-on-year [1]. - The second quarter of 2025 saw revenue of 540 million yuan, down 7.0% year-on-year and 1.9% quarter-on-quarter, with net profit of 50 million yuan, reflecting a year-on-year decline of 8.4% but a quarter-on-quarter increase of 0.9% [1]. Product Performance - The average selling price of products increased by 7.4% year-on-year, contributing to a stable gross margin in the synthetic leather business, which recorded a gross margin of 26.2%, a slight decrease of 0.02 percentage points year-on-year [2]. - The synthetic leather business generated revenue of 1.08 billion yuan, down 2.2% year-on-year, with the ecological functional synthetic leather and ordinary synthetic leather segments achieving revenues of 1.03 billion yuan and 50 million yuan, respectively, reflecting year-on-year declines of 1.3% and 18.6% [2]. Production Capacity Expansion - The company is steadily advancing the construction of its production base in Vietnam, with two dry composite production lines completed and in trial production as of August 2025, which is expected to enhance production capacity [3]. - Sales revenue from the Vietnam base increased by 66.3% year-on-year, with a reduction in losses by 5.774 million yuan compared to the previous year [3]. - Once all four production lines in Vietnam are fully operational, the company will have an annual production capacity of 18 million meters for polyurethane synthetic leather and composite materials, further enhancing supply capabilities [3]. Profit Forecast and Valuation - The company is projected to achieve revenues of 2.64 billion yuan, 3.04 billion yuan, and 3.57 billion yuan for the years 2025 to 2027, representing year-on-year growth rates of 10.0%, 15.1%, and 17.3%, respectively [3]. - Net profit attributable to shareholders is expected to reach 260 million yuan, 310 million yuan, and 390 million yuan for the same period, with year-on-year growth rates of 35.2%, 18.1%, and 24.9% [3]. - Based on the closing price on August 26, the corresponding price-to-earnings ratios are projected to be 19, 16, and 13 times for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively, with a strong recommendation rating [3].