YTCO(SH:600066) Xin Lang Cai Jing·2025-08-28 00:31Core Viewpoint - The company reported a slight decline in revenue for the first half of 2025 but achieved a significant increase in net profit, supported by strong overseas export performance and a high dividend payout ratio [1][2]. Financial Performance - In the first half of 2025, the company achieved revenue of 16.129 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 1.3%, while net profit attributable to shareholders was 1.936 billion yuan, an increase of 15.7% year-on-year [1]. - For the second quarter of 2025, revenue was 9.712 billion yuan, showing a year-on-year decrease of 0.08% but a quarter-on-quarter increase of 51%. Net profit for the same period was 1.18 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 16% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 56% [1][2]. Export and Operational Efficiency - The increase in overseas new energy bus exports significantly contributed to profit growth, with the company achieving a 16% year-on-year increase in net profit for Q2 2025 [2]. - The company sold 21,300 buses in the first half of 2025, a year-on-year increase of 3.7%, although Q2 sales were down 4% year-on-year due to fluctuations in export order deliveries [2]. - The gross profit margin for Q2 2025 was 22.9%, a decrease of 3.16 percentage points year-on-year, attributed to changes in accounting policies, but the actual overseas new energy bus sales ratio improved [2]. Future Outlook - The company is expected to benefit from high-value bus exports and economies of scale, with a maintained high capacity utilization rate and an optimistic outlook for profit elasticity in the second half of the year [3]. - The global market for new energy buses remains significant, with opportunities in regions like Southern Europe, South America, and the Middle East, where the company has established competitive advantages [3]. Profit Forecast and Valuation - The profit forecast for 2025-2026 remains stable, with expected net profits of 4.6 billion, 5.3 billion, and 6.1 billion yuan respectively. The company is assigned a price-to-earnings ratio of 15.8 for 2025, leading to a target price of 32.86 yuan [4].